Probability

  BetDevil Analysis

USA have a home record of 9-3-0 (W-D-L) for their 12 home games in their last 20 matches, 30 points from a possible 36. That's a home points average of 2.50 compared to 1.80 for all games in their last 20 matches. USA's recent points average is 1.50, 9 points from 6 games 2-3-1 (W-D-L)
USA's last 10 league games record reads WDWLWDWDLD while their last 10 home league games read WWWWWWWDWD.

Wales have an away record of 3-2-4 (W-D-L) for their 9 away games in their last 20 matches, 11 points from a possible 27. That's an away points average of 1.22 compared to 1.25 for all games in their last 20 matches. Wales's recent points average is 0.67, 4 points from 6 games;
Wales's last 10 league games record reads DWDLWLDLLL while their last 10 away league games read LWLDWDWLLL.

Comparing USA's home games versus Wales's away games (21 in total), there have been 62% Home Wins, 24% Draws and 14% Away Wins (13-5-3). A similar comparison for all USA's games versus all Wales's games (40 in total) produces the following: 42% Home Wins, 32% Draws and 25% Away Wins (17-13-10).

Form : WWDLWWDDDD - Last game reads right to left.

  League Goal Analysis

USA have a recent goal tally of 9-3(6 games), season total of 31-13 from 30 games. Wales have a recent goal tally of 6-9(6 games), season total of 25-25 from 14 games.

The number of goals average for the most recent games involving both these teams is 2.25(27 goals in 12 games), the season average being 2.35 (94 goals in 40 games).

  Ratings Analysis

Home Team USA (2002) look way too strong for Wales (985) in RateForm terms. USA (444) have proved to be stronger than Wales (162) in Recent Form terms. USA (630) are slightly ahead of Wales (456) by League Form. USA (1074) are ahead of Wales (618) by Combo Form.

USA are ahead of Wales in all rating categories, indicating a Home Win. The greater the ratings values the greater the possibility.

Match Ratings : RateForm ((1016)) | Recent Form (281) | League Form (174) | League Form (455)

USA's Team Ratings : RateForm (2002) | Recent Form (444) | League Form (630) | Combo Form (1074)
Wales's Team Ratings : RateForm (985) | Recent Form (162) | League Form (456) | Combo Form (618))

Average Team Ratings : RateForm (1000) | Recent Form (400) | League Form (400)
RateForm is based on Professor Elo's Chess Player Ratings. Recent Form is calculated using team's last 6 matches. League Form is calculated using team's matches in their last 20 matches. Combo Form is the combination of Recent Form and League Form. The home team is awarded 100 points for home advantage in Match RateForm.

  Sequences & Streaks Analysis

League Matches
USA have not won in their last 3 games. USA are undefeated in their last 26 home games.
Wales are on a 3 game losing streak. Wales are on a 3 game away losing streak. Wales have not won in their last 5 games. Wales have gone 3 games without a draw. Wales have not won in their last 3 away games. Wales have gone 4 away games without a draw.